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Show HN: I measured the half-life of 41,301 Show HN launches. It's 7 hours

1 sources1 storiesFirst seen 7/2/2026Score21Mixed Progress
Single Source
CoverageRecencyEngagementVelocityBignessConfidenceClipability
Bigness
21
Coverage
13
Recency
66
Engagement
8
Velocity
0
Confidence
28
Clipability
57
Polarization
0
Claims
4
Contradictions
0
Breakthrough
50

Sentiment Mix

Positive0%
Neutral100%
Negative0%

Geography

North America

Expert Signals

jonnonz

author1 mention

Hacker News

source1 mention

AI-Generated Claims

Generated from linked receipts; click sources for full context.

Show HN: I measured the half-life of 41,301 Show HN launches.

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I scraped every Show HN from the last 12 months (41,301 posts) plus the full comment tree of every launch with 10+ comments, ~100k comment timestamps, all from the Algolia HN API.The median launch gets 2 points and 0 comments.

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For launches that do get traction, half the comments they'll ever get arrive within 7.2 hours and 90% within 26, and the top decile decays on the same clock as everyone else.Vote timestamps aren't public, so comment timing is the attention proxy; caveats are in the post.

Supported by 1 story

Everything reproduces from the repo with one command (https://github.com/jonnonz1/hn-attention-cliff), and every number in the post maps to a named function.

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Related Events

Timeline (1 stories)

Receipts (1)

Bias Snapshot

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Aggjonno.nz7/2/2026